Book Review: Antifragile
This book starts with these 4 observations in life:
- The Barbell: There are things with a lot more upside than downside those are worth going for.
- Optionality: Have more options available. Choose things that give you more options.
- Via Negativa: Sometimes it’s easier to rule out wrong answers than finding the right answer.
- Skin in the game: Don’t take advice from people who don’t suffer the consequence of their words.
I find these ideas unobtrusive. The first two are things you naturally want to do but never do.
Via Negativa is something everyone does at school yet this skill is somehow lost later in life yet I don’t see many people doing it. It might be because you look stupid if you try many wrong solutions just to find out which ones won’t work.
Skin in the game is useful when someone is giving you their predictions about the world. My conversations usually goes like this:
“We’re gonna have world war 3 soon” predictor say. “Have you bet on it in poly market” I ask. Silence.
The ideas are helpful when choosing a direction but not what to do.
The book contains more interesting ideas. The 4 I mentioned are the things you see repeated in the book. It looks into different fields and find examples where some idea was used or dismissed and what happened. There’s a catch here which is these ideas are not things you can prove. After reading the book I felt I’m more biased toward things following the 4 ideas mentioned. But these are not proved in this book. There’s a lot of backing arguments but still they can be wrong in some point.
I found the last parts of the book somewhat repetitive since there was less new ideas. But it definitely worth reading.